Release of 2024 Cherry Blossom Forecast (14th forecast)

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Release of 2024 Cherry Blossom Forecast (14th forecast)
April 25, 2024
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On April 25, 2024, JMC released its 14th forecast of the dates when cherry blossoms will start to flower (kaika) and reach full bloom (mankai). JMC has estimated the flowering and full bloom dates for Somei Yoshino (Yoshino Cherry) trees in approximately 1,000 cherry blossom viewing locations in cities from Hokkaido to Kagoshima. (This will be the last cherry blossom forecast for this season)
App "Sakura Navi - Forecast in 2024"(App Store / Google Play
"Sakura Navi" won the first place in the AppStore travel category (paid) in Hong Kong in 2019.
Forecasted flowering and full bloom dates for approximately 1,000 cherry blossom viewing locations across Japan "Otenki Navigator" cherry blossom navigator
Cherry Blossom Flowering Forecast Map

"Cherry Blossom Flowering Forecast Map" shows dates of flowering but not of full bloom.

App "Sakura Navi"
App “Sakura Navi”
This is an app where you can find out information on the forecast of the flowering and full bloom dates of the cherry blossoms and their progress towards flowering (Flowering Meter) all over Japan.
Moreover, there are functionalities with which you can enjoy more of the cherry blossoms, such as "Proximity Notification for Cherry Blossom SPOT" where there will be a notification when you are close to a Cherry Blossom SPOT as well as "Stamp Card" where you can record your previously visited locations.

"Sakura Navi" won the first place in the AppStore travel category (paid) in Hong Kong in 2019.

App "Sakura Navi - Forecast in 2024"(App Store / Google Play
2024 Forecast of flowering and full bloom dates for each area
[14th forecast announced on April 25, 2024]
Location Forecasted flowering date Flowering deviation (days) Forecasted full bloom date Full bloom deviation (days) Flowering date in average year
Sapporo4/18-134/24-125/1
Aomori4/15-74/18-84/22
Sendai4/2-64/9-44/8
Tokyo3/2954/443/24
Kanazawa4/1-24/804/3
Nagano4/8-34/13-34/11
Nagoya3/2844/753/24
Kyoto3/2934/513/26
Osaka3/3034/623/27
Wakayama3/3064/303/24
Hiroshima3/2504/523/25
Kochi3/2313/3113/22
Fukuoka3/2754/223/22
Kagoshima3/2934/1273/26
 
The flowering or full bloom is announced.
Flowering Meter
The flowering meter provides a quantitative measure of cherry trees' current progress toward flowering and full bloom, allowing you to enjoy not only the actual flowering and full bloom of cherry blossoms but also the run-up to the flowering.
About the flowering meter (pdf)
2024年第14th回開花メーター
Cherry Blossom Forecast in Japan | from AI Newscaster Billiken
Using AI avatar technology, Biliken, the symbol of Osaka, explains the 2024 cherry blossom flowering and full bloom forecast provided by Japan Meteorological Corporation.
Cherry Blossom Forecast in Japan | from AI Newscaster Billiken
JMC's Method for Forecasting Cherry Blossom Flowering Dates
The mechanism of cherry blossom flowering
The flowering and full bloom dates of cherry blossoms depend on the temperature patterns from autumn of the preceding year. The buds of cherry blossoms are formed during the summer of the preceding year. Before they flower, they must go through two processes: dormancy and growth. Buds do not start growing as soon as they are formed; they first enter a period of dormancy. Dormancy allows the buds to survive the winter, with its cold weather and short days. This phenomenon is not exclusive to cherry trees. In temperate zones, many kinds of plant certain levels (between -5 and 15 degrees centigrade) during the autumn and winter period, trees awaken from their dormancy in anticipation of the approaching spring. After breaking dormancy, the buds enter the growth stage, and grow as the temperatures increase to flowering. During this stage, the higher the temperature is, the better the growth rate will be.
During dormancy, buds do not show any visible development. However, once they enter the growth stage, they will grow increasingly large as the moment of flowering draws nearer. Eventually, their tips will turn a yellowish green color. Just before they start to flower, it will be possible to make out their petals.
Forecast method
JMC has devised its own method for forecasting flowering and full bloom dates based on existing research on the forecasting of flowering and full bloom dates for Somei Yoshino (Yoshino Cherry) trees.
JMC estimates the flowering and full bloom dates for each area based on low temperatures during autumn and winter, cherry tree growth status, cumulative temperatures, and past data for each area.
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